Discuss in forum (2 entries)

Original odds taken: 2.04
Blogabet odds taken: 2.01 (-0.03)
Latest odds in Asia:

I just see too clear differences beetween this two teams and I can not understand for which reason the hosts should be favourite in this match. It's not just that 1860 is the better team but Karlsruher faces up a grave crisis.
Karlsruher's recent performances were disastrous and in their current form they are a relegation canidate. Of course Karlsruher has enough potential to get a safe midfield position but at the moment they are so poor and I don't know for which reason their crisis should end today. Any way, it is a final for Karlsruher's coach Markus Schupp. Actually Schupp would have been suspended several months ago but Karlsruher is short of money and they did not have enough money to pay indemnity payments for him. But according to the latest performances, everyone knows that Schupp will be suspended today if his team won't improve clearly. However, two important strikers are back to the squad after injuries (Fink and Chrisantus). But Karlsruher's recent performances were incredible bad, the young team was overchallenged and the passing game did not work well anymore.
Two weeks ago when they played at home against Bochum, the young team admitted complete failure. Bochum is not a top team at the moment and not better than 1860 but Bochum was clearly superior. Last weekend they went the extra mile when they played so incredible poor away in Duisburg (3:0). Their porous defence was always their biggest problem but meanwhile their offensive is in a very bad shape also.
So I can not see anything what should point to an improvement. Quite the contrary, the pressure will be massive today and under pressure Karlsruher usually failed in the past.

1860 faces up a downtrend also. After good start there were a couple of bad happenings for them. For example they underwent a contract penalty which made for two points less for them. Or the curious story about their player Savio Nsereko who stayed away of train for two weeks and nobody knew where he was. Or the selling of their 17 years old talent Moritz Leitner to Borussia Dortmund. But nevertheless their situation is still much better than Karlsruher's one.
Last weekend they were held to a goalless draw against poor Arminia Bielefeld because they were not able to break Bielefelds defense. During the week 1860 was defeated by 1. Bundesliga team FC Cologne in the "DFB cup" by 3:0. But 1860 performed quite well in Cologne and over 60 minuts 1860 was the better team. They showed that defending and fast counterattacking away is recently one of their new strengths. In the end Cologne scored three times but nevertheless 1860's performance was quite good and with a similarly performance they should have no problems with beating Karlsruher. However, Ignjovski and Aigner will be out for 1860 but Halfar recently substituted Aigner very well (Aigner wasn't good at last anyway) and as well Ignjovski recently had a lack of form.

Anyhow this initial situation remembers me a bit to the situation two weeks ago when Karlsruher hosted against VfL Bochum (back then Bochum was in a small crisis also). Karlsruher asked them to score several times and thus Bochum had no problems with taking three points from Karlsruher. I can't see Karlsruher SC finishing their crisis today, it will be the last game of Markus Schupp, I am pretty sure. I like the +0 odds for the visitors.

Comment after game: Very good performance of 1860 and a deserved away victory. Karlsruher wasn't bad at all but 1860 was too strong for them today. I think it was a good bet.